04Outcome IntelligenceSwitched on in Defend, $499/mo

Learn which disputes you win.

Most stores contest disputes without ever learning what worked, so they make the same case every time and lose the same way. Outcome Intelligence records every result and feeds your own win rates back into the next verdict.

Win rate by dispute reasonSample
Your average 40%Not received58%Not as described49%Subscription cancelled41%Fraud, card absent33%Duplicate charge26%
Your average 40%Not received58%Not as described49%Subscription cancelled41%Fraud, card absent33%Duplicate charge26%
Above your averageBelowWhich reasons your records can carry and which they cannot, so the next fight starts from the last one. A reason needs ten decided disputes before a rate appears.

Predispute records every dispute an issuer decides and reads the results back as pattern. Your win rate on each reason code is the useful half of that: it shows which arguments your records can carry and which ones you have been losing for a year without noticing, and it is what moves the verdict on the next case. A rate needs ten decided disputes before it appears, because two outcomes are a coin toss rather than a pattern.

Objectives
  • Track your win rate on every dispute reason you have resolved
  • Hold a rate back until enough disputes have been decided to mean something
  • Move each new verdict toward your own results as they accumulate
Outcomes
  • A clear map of which reasons you win and which you never do
  • Verdicts that shift toward your store the longer it runs
  • A running total of the dollars recovered

Win rates by bank are not available yet. Naming the bank behind a dispute needs a detail from the card that Shopify releases separately from installing the app and has not released to us, and that Stripe shares only on in-person charges, so an online Stripe account will never see it. Peer benchmarks wait on a base of stores we do not have. What runs today is your own history, by reason code, and it needs decided disputes before it says anything.

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01Ratio Intelligence

Monitor is free, installs on Shopify or Stripe in minutes, and shows your estimated ratio the day you connect.